Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 3.194653 3.801299 4.458969 5.221043 6.075814 7.001087 8.074420
2025-12-21 2.184821 2.945689 3.844127 4.967399 6.317777 7.872715 9.781599
2025-12-28 1.722180 2.602576 3.723803 5.218106 7.117387 9.411081 12.348082
2026-01-04 1.422856 2.392468 3.715121 5.578478 8.059672 11.173882 15.296027
2026-01-11 1.178069 2.198301 3.683692 5.884816 8.938429 12.899815 18.291109
2026-01-18 0.924270 1.929397 3.495980 5.938443 9.464951 14.185690 20.778913
2026-01-25 0.684634 1.620498 3.190998 5.772598 9.653241 15.011045 22.683416
2026-02-01 0.510669 1.376222 2.939815 5.643484 9.862356 15.852496 24.623305
2026-02-08 0.380181 1.173890 2.718547 5.523892 10.058293 16.664790 26.535266
2026-02-15 0.287717 1.019812 2.551965 5.465803 10.329394 17.581130 28.610197
2026-02-22 0.245698 0.969784 2.570443 5.718481 11.094651 19.241520 31.785715
2026-03-01 0.191176 0.866291 2.463487 5.733982 11.471785 20.331547 34.167933
2026-03-08 0.127100 0.704737 2.206783 5.452958 11.351624 20.681565 35.515474
2026-03-15 0.083648 0.578574 1.997264 5.230575 11.306507 21.136168 37.025689
2026-03-22 0.071453 0.561392 2.042814 5.515336 12.155215 23.021665 40.734838
2026-03-29 0.064594 0.563366 2.136666 5.905795 13.209324 25.266764 45.045867
2026-04-05 0.056367 0.554018 2.199092 6.234547 14.166560 27.384004 49.211556
2026-04-12 0.042332 0.503222 2.139309 6.296017 14.638421 28.728053 52.220725
2026-04-19 0.027103 0.425215 1.982537 6.125962 14.667957 29.343666 54.111875
2026-04-26 0.017005 0.362038 1.850697 5.992847 14.752465 30.044866 56.145310
2026-05-03 0.010216 0.308085 1.730473 5.868854 14.840426 30.745774 58.184485
2026-05-10 0.006134 0.267474 1.642042 5.808713 15.045636 31.646950 60.557796
2026-05-17 0.004936 0.262392 1.682604 6.073380 15.910693 33.705067 64.830512